Duke vs Notre Dame Odds, Analysis, College Basketball Betting PicK.Duke owns four wins in a row in the series with Notre Dame, including three by double digits, going 4-0 against the spread in the process.The Blue Devils are heavily favored to make it five straight against the Fighting Irish when the teams meet Monday night in South Bend.
College basketball point spread: The Blue Devils opened as 13-point favorites; the total is at 150, according to sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark. (Line updates and matchup report)
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Why Duke can cover the spread
Duke rides a three-game winning streak into Monday night after holding off Georgia Tech on Saturday 66-53.
The Blue Devils actually trailed the Yellow Jackets 29-27 at halftime and by eight points early in the second half but embarked upon a 37-11 run to take control on their way to victory.
Duke only shot 41 percent from the field but held Georgia Tech to 41 percent field-goal shooting, earned a 38-34 edge on the boards and won the turnover battle 18-12.
The Blue Devils also welcomed back point guard Tre Jones, who missed the previous two games with a sore shoulder.
Duke has now held 12 of its last 13 opponents under 50 percent shooting from the floor and outrebounded 12 of its last 14 foes.
The Blue Devils are also 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS in true road games this season, and 5-4 ATS when favored by 15 points or less.
Why Notre Dame can cover the spread
Notre Dame is a tough client to shill for at the moment, with four straight losses including an 82-55 decision against No. 3 Virginia on Saturday.
The Irish fell down to the Cavaliers 12-0 out of the gate, trailed by 20 late in the first half and never got closer than 12 points after that in a performance better left on the cutting room floor.
Last Tuesday, Notre Dame lost to Georgia Tech 63-61. Just before that, the Irish lost to North Carolina State 77-73; and just before that, they lost at North Carolina 75-69.
In fact, five of Notre Dame’s nine losses this season have come by six points or less.
The Irish have also held eight of their last 10 opponents under 50 percent shooting.
Notre Dame actually started 10-3 this season, with a win over Purdue and close losses to Oklahoma and UCLA.
Duke vs. Notre Dame college basketball betting pick
Duke shoots the ball better than Notre Dame, plays better defense and does a better job on the boards. Also, while the Blue Devils just got a key player back from injury, the Irish are playing short-handed.
Finally, playing on the road means the spread is a bit friendlier toward Duke. The smart money here at sports betting sites gives the points.
OddsShark computer pick: 82.3-63.9, Blue Devils (Get college basketball picks on every game via the OddsShark computer)
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The Duke Blue Devils and Notre Dame Fighting Irish meet as both ACC programs continue to pull in polar opposite directions.
TV schedule: Monday, January 28, 7:00 PM ET, ESPN
Location: Purcell Pavilion, South Bend, Indiana
A couple of years ago, a primetime showdown between the Duke Blue Devils and Notre Dame Fighting Irish would’ve been worth the limelight – not this time, though.
These ACC teams are simply traveling different paths to March.
Duke is clearly one of the top teams in the country, only dropping two dramatic games to Gonzaga and Syracuse. They even topped Virginia – then the last unbeaten team in the land – without the services of essential guard Tre Jones.
Jones returned to the lineup against Georgia Tech on Saturday, showing few signs of his shoulder separation in 35 solid all-around minutes for the Blue Devils. Despite the quick turnaround for Monday’s game, Duke should feel emboldened by his quick recovery.
Meanwhile, Notre Dame is treading water – Bonzie Colson isn’t walking through the door anytime soon.
Mike Brey has his team playing hard as always, but there’s a clear talent gap between this year’s Fighting Irish and the Fighting Irish of previous years. Notre Dame is 11-9 this season, including a horrific 1-6 in the ACC. They have a four-game losing streak hanging over their heads.
They’re also in the midst of one of the toughest stretches imaginable. They lost by just six points at North Carolina, then returned home for a four-point loss against the ranked North Carolina State Wolfpack. That was followed by a road loss at Georgia Tech, then a home blowout against the aforementioned Virginia Cavaliers.
Now, mighty Duke rolls into town.
Since the Fighting Irish joined the ACC, they’ve hosted the Blue Devils three times and have actually won two of those games. But those victorious Notre Dame teams had the likes of Pat Connaughton and Jerian Grant.
This Notre Dame team has John Mooney (who nobody’s ever heard of but averages a double-double) and TJGibbs, who’s scoring less than last season. That’s not enough to get the job done against this monstrous Duke team.
The second-ranked Blue Devils have not looked themselves lately. They will have a chance to ‘find themselves’ with Monday night’s game against Notre Dame at the Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, Ind.
Point guard Tre Jones returned Saturday after an absence of nearly three full games. The Blue Devils were overjoyed with his return to action after he suffered a separated shoulder less than two weeks earlier.
The freshman Jones doesn’t score a lot (8 PPG) but he isn’t asked to–he excels on the defensive end of the floor and the Blue Devils sorely missed his presence on that end during his three-game absence.
RJ Barrett said it best, “With Tre out there, we finally feel we can play our defense again,”
Duke (17-2, 6-1 ACC) will go into the Notre Dame game coming off its lowest team point total of the season.
Barrett took over some of the ball-handling duties when Jones was sidelined, but he hasn’t lost his scoring touch. With 24 points in the Georgia Tech game, Barrett has 16 games with 20 or more points.
Barrett ranks first in ACC scoring at 23.9 points per game, and teammate Zion Williamson is second at 21.7. Williamson has at least nine field goals in four consecutive games, shooting a combined 42 of 61 in those games.
If Barrett and Williamson have their usual offensive outings and Jones delivers his signature defense…this is going to be a long night for the Irish and their fans.
Notre Dame is coming off a 27-point loss to Virginia on Saturday.
Brey said the Irish need to regain a fighting spirit in short order.
This is an incredible gauntlet for Notre Dame (11-9, 1-6), playing the No. 2 and No. 3 teams in the country in a matter of three days.
The Irish’s 82-55 home loss to No. 3 Cavaliers marked the team’s fourth consecutive setback.
John Mooney is averaging a double-double with 14.5 points and 10.8 rebounds per game–but the team really misses Rex Pflueger who will miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL that occurred in December.
Mooney will need to have a dominating outing against one of college basketball’s most intimidating figures in freshman Zion Williamson.
The No. 2 Duke Blue Devils continue their pursuit of an ACC title on Monday when they visit the Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 7 p.m. ET. The Blue Devils are 14-point favorites in the latest Duke vs. Notre Dame odds, while the total has seen substantial movement, jumping from an opening of 149.5 all the way up to 154.5. Oddsmakers overwhelmingly like Duke to win this game straight-up, but going on the road and covering 14 points in conference play could be a challenge. Before locking in any Duke vs. Notre Dame picks of your own, be sure to check out the latest college basketball predictions from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. Over the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $5,200 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. And it enters Week 13 of the 2018-19 college basketball season on a strong 22-10 run on top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model takes aim at Notre Dame vs. Duke. We can tell you it’s leaning under, and it also has a strong against the spread pick, saying one side hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see that one at SportsLine.
The model has taken the return of Tre Jones into account for the Blue Devils (17-2, 6-1). After missing a couple games with a shoulder injury, he logged 35 minutes of action on Saturday against Georgia Tech. The freshman guard is a facilitator who makes Duke’s offense run at maximum potential. Look no further than his team-leading 5.6 assists per game for evidence. He’ll help distribute the ball to an NBA-ready roster that includes forwards R.J. Barrett (23.9 points per game), Zion Williamson (21.7) and Cam Reddish (12.8).
But all that talent doesn’t guarantee that the Blue Devils will cover the Duke vs. Notre Dame spread on Monday.
The Irish enter this contest with an 11-9 record overall, but earlier this month they easily covered a big spread against North Carolina in a 75-69 loss. And Vegas has been overvaluing Duke recently. The Blue Devils have covered in just one of their past five games. They were favored by a whopping 22.5 points Saturday against Georgia Tech but won by just 13.
Who wins Duke vs. Notre Dame? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Notre Dame vs. Duke spread you should be all over, all from the model that has returned more than $5,200 to $100 players the last two years.